Empirical Modeling in Economics: Specification and Evaluation

Přední strana obálky
Cambridge University Press, 30. 9. 1999 - Počet stran: 99
In these three essays, Professor Granger explains the process of constructing and evaluating an empirical model. Drawing on a wide range of cases and vignettes from economics, finance, politics and environment economics, as well as from art, literature, and the entertainment industry, Professor Granger combines rigor with intuition to provide a unique and entertaining insight into one of the most important subjects in modern economics. Chapter 1 deals with Specification. Chapter 2 considers Evaluation, and argues that insufficent evaluation is undertaken by economists, and that models should be evaluated in terms of the quality of their output. In Chapter 3, the question of how to evaluate forecasts is considered at several levels of increasing depth.
 

Obsah

The specification of empirical models
1
The evaluation of empirical models
33
Comments on the evaluation of econometric models and of forecasts
61

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